ORAC-NT independent real-time GW pipeline: 5/5 detection, FAR=0 on O3 data

Update on ORAC-NT pipeline — Phase F results

Following the earlier FAR discussion, I’ve completed
validation of a morphology scoring layer on GWTC-3.

654 events processed. RF classifier (BBH vs NSBH):

  • CV AUC = 0.893 ± 0.098 (5-fold)
  • LOO: 17/17 NSBH correctly ranked
  • Permutation p = 0.005 (N=10,000)

Score correlates with SNR (ρ=-0.74) and distance
(ρ=+0.82) — consistent with detectability-driven
morphology differences.

 zenodo   20475978

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